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Release: Oct 31, 2000

Media advisory: Upcoming election-related news from UI political experts

IOWA CITY, Iowa -- The University of Iowa's political experts will be watching closely as Election 2000 draws to a close. Reporters and editors should be aware of the following events and items of interest.

On Thursday, Nov. 2, Arthur Miller will release the 2000 Heartland Poll. Miller, a professor of political science and director of the Iowa Social Science Institute, says this year's poll will provide information on voter inclinations in several key Midwestern "swing states." The Heartland Poll, the only political opinion poll to focus on the Midwest, surveys voters in Iowa and six surrounding states. The Heartland Poll will be posted on the Web Thursday morning. Miller will be available for interviews at (319) 335-2328.

On Monday, Nov. 6, at 8:30 a.m. in the Danner Conference Room, Gilmore Hall, the UI Research Roundtable, hosted by the Office of the Vice President of Research and University News Services, will feature Miller, political scientist and election forecaster Michael Lewis-Beck, and Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) co-director George Neumann in a discussion of their three methods of political prognostication.

On Wednesday, Nov. 8, David Redlawsk, assistant professor of political science, will present the results of an exit poll about local ballot issues and government corruption. Redlawsk expects to show demographic correlates of voter support for local ballot issues at a 3 p.m. press conference in the Old Public Library. Early returns from this exit poll may be available after 3 p.m. Nov. 7. Contact Redlawsk at (319) 335-2352 for details.

UI political scientists Peverill Squire and Cary Covington can offer historical perspective and daily analysis as the candidates work toward election day. Both are seasoned political analysts. Squire can be reached at (319) 335-2354 and Covington can be reached at (319) 335-2339.

Six professors in the UI Tippie College of Business who manage the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), will continue to monitor an extremely close race in the IEM vote-share market. Today's IEM trading shows George W. Bush contracts at 52 cents, with Al Gore close behind at 48 cents in a vote-share market. The IEM are Web-based markets where traders buy and sell political futures based on the outcome of the presidential and congressional elections. For latest prices and information see Contact Jeanine Alcocer, or (319) 335-0794 to arrange interviews with IEM professors.